There is no use trying to pick specific stocks or bonds because the market will win on average, say passive investing advocates. The fundamental belief underlying passive investing is that, on average, investors cannot outperform the market on a risk-adjusted basis. This stems from the efficient market hypothesis which states that asset prices reflect all available information.

The first passively indexed portfolio was launched in 1971 by Wells Fargo for a pension fund. The first index fund available to retail investors was launched in 1975 by Vanguard. Passive vehicles now abound and are easily accessible through various investing platforms. Not all passive strategies are created equally, however, and investors need to be cognisant of how any differences may affect investment outcomes. In practice, the average passive investor may indeed be making active investment decisions.

This is not supposed to be an argument on active versus passive but rather to help illuminate the make-up of various types of passive investment products available in the market today. If you really want to know which investment strategy is best, the answer may or may not be hidden in each of the following paragraphs.

There are several ways an index can be constructed which will affect the shape of an investment portfolio. Investors should consider the following when assessing what passive strategy is appropriate: (1) the universe/boundaries of the strategy, (2) any specific criteria e.g. ESG exclusions, (3) weighting methodology e.g. price, market float, or equal, (4) calculation methodology e.g. price or total (includes both capital appreciation and dividends).

With the proliferation of low-cost index funds now available to investors, at what point does the decision to invest passively actually become ‘active’? Many investors are making active selections by investing in specific regions, sub-sectors, factors/smart beta, or thematics, rather than simply investing in a broad market tracking index.

For example, an investor may choose to invest in a passive index fund made up of equities tracking the S&P 500 index. But why not invest in one tracking the NZX 50 index or MSCI ACWI (a common global equity index)? The active decision in this situation is to choose the equity of US companies over NZ companies or a broader global equity index. The indices have different underlying drivers of risk and return.

To give another example, an investor may be attracted to a certain thematic. An example of this might be a passive fund with specific ESG (environmental, social, governance) criteria. Suppose an investor wants exposure to US companies with sustainability criteria, the active decision is to move away from the standard S&P 500 Index and instead choose a fund that tracks the S&P 500 ESG Index. The exposure to underlying stocks differs between these indices. For instance, Berkshire Hathaway and Meta feature in the top ten weightings for the standard S&P 500 Index but not in the ESG version. Instead, the ESG version of the index rounds out the top ten weightings with JP Morgan Chase & Co and Visa Inc A. This is simply the passive implementation of active risk. The indices have different underlying drivers of risk and return.

The two examples above demonstrate active decisions within the context of equities. However, the more pertinent consideration for investors is the broader asset allocation decision within the overall investment portfolio. Simply put, what to invest in equity versus fixed interest versus cash. Asset allocation is the main driver of returns over time so this is where much focus should be paid to ensure an investor’s portfolio is commensurate with their risk tolerance.

Before investors even assess what to invest in, the question for investors should ultimately be, what do I want to achieve by investing? Once this is understood then the most appropriate combination of investments can be chosen to help meet the investor’s objectives.

Research IP believes there is merit to investing in both active and passively managed investments. The actual combination is a significant active decision in itself. The level of involvement and decision making can vary for different parts of the investment portfolio. Ongoing governance and portfolio reviews are important to make sure the drivers of risk and return within the portfolio are appropriate for investors’ objectives.

Where to from here?

Research IP currently has over 300 reports for managed funds available in the New Zealand market, as well as a range also available in Australia.  The initial coverage also includes all default, balanced, and growth KiwiSaver offerings. Coverage of funds and data points is expanding daily.

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Research IP delivers high quality investment fund research and consultancy services to financial advisers, charities & NFPs and the broader financial services industry. Our experience spans well over 20 years working directly across the multiple facets of finance, so we understand the key drivers and challenges for managers, as well as the impact for investors and the broader industry.

We strive to give you the best information, so you can help your clients make better decisions, and feel more confident about doing business with you. We believe that not only can everybody win, everybody should.

Reach out to us today about your research and consulting needs, and how to make the data work for you, and your clients.

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Photo credits: Alesia Kozik (Pexels)

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While every care has been taken in the preparation of this information, Research IP makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any statement in it including, without limitation, any forecasts. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. This blog post has been prepared for the purpose of providing general information, it is not personal financial advice and should not be relied upon as a substitute for detailed advice from your authorised financial adviser. You should, before making any investment decisions, consider the appropriateness of the information in this email, and seek professional advice, having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs.

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